← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfred St Leger Stakes (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Christmas Day
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Christmas Day (SR 130, 2/1) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin, with Pierre Bonnard (SR 123) and Enceladus (SR 120) the only others within touching distance. The form string -13123 shows consistent Group-level involvement including a recent win, and the GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's good ground — a meaningful edge over Enceladus (GoingFit:?) and Enceladus who has drifted 10% in the market. The Mkt:in7% move for Christmas Day confirms money is coming for the AP O'Brien yard's #1 pick here; Ronan Whelan's booking is a slight jockey concern versus the yard's top pilots, but the SR gap and market trajectory override that reservation. MarkMv:+9 is manageable at this class level given the form consistency. Each-way alternative: Pierre Bonnard. Main danger: Enceladus — Enceladus (SR 120) arrives on a hat-trick of wins (Form:33-111) and Joseph Patrick O'Brien runs this as the yard's #1 with Billy Loughnane — both strong signals — though the 10% market drift and unknown going/distance fit (both flagged '?') are genuine concerns that temper the case.
Full result
Winner: Highwayman at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Highwayman SP 11/1
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2
Enceladus Fox #3 9/4
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3
Amelia Earhart 25/1
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4
Alderman 33/1
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5
Galiyan 33/1
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6
Pierre Bonnard Fox #2 3/1
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7
Hatteen 18/1
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8
Rebel Rocker 80/1
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9
Christmas Day Fox #1 2/1
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10
Golden Story 33/1
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11
Action 66/1
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Port Of Spain
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Piazza San Marco
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Zia Zabel
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Del Maro
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Montreal
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Christmas Day 2/1 9TH
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2
Pierre Bonnard 3/1 6TH
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3
Enceladus 9/4 🥈 2ND