← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Stallion Studs 'Carrie Red' EBF Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Speed of Sound
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 7/4F Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Speed of Sound (SR:95, 9/4) is the clear class leader in this field — her SR sits 8 points clear of the next-best runners and she carries only 8-11, a favourable weight relative to her ability advantage. Her DistFit:+ confirms she handles this 6f trip, and running off the same mark as her last win (MarkMv:=) means she hasn't been punished by the handicapper. The slight market drift (Mkt:out5%) is modest and may reflect punters being wary of a short price rather than any genuine concern; her connections remain the obvious first string here (Oisin Murphy goes to stablemate Sexy Chick, but Saffie Osborne is an established professional and Spencer's record is solid at 15%). The ClassMv:= signal confirms this is not a step into the unknown, and a recent form line of 3-2-1-3 shows consistent competitiveness at the top of the card. Each-way alternative: Bymiddaytomorrow. Main danger: Bymiddaytomorrow — Bymiddaytomorrow (SR:84, 12/1) has steamed in 44% in the market, carries DistFit:+ at this exact trip, and her form line ending in '117' shows she found her feet sharply — the market money is real and should not be ignored even with the +10 mark rise.
Full result
Winner: Speed of Sound (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Speed of Sound Fox #1 2/1
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2
Angel In My Heart 16/1
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3
Bymiddaytomorrow Fox #2 11/1
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4
Kodi Bear Light Fox #4 15/2
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5
Downonmainstreet 14/1
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6
Rollthedicebaby 9/1
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7
Wondervision Fox #3 9/2
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8
Angel Sense 12/1
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9
Roosike 28/1
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10
Leucothea 20/1
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11
Art Of Life 17/2
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—
Sexy Chick 15/2
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—
Bayside -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Speed of Sound 9/4 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Bymiddaytomorrow 12/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Wondervision 5/1 7TH
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4
Kodi Bear Light 9/1 🏁 4TH