← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfred May Hill Stakes (Group 2)
Mr Fox’s call
Musical Times
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 SP 7/4F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Musical Times (SR 107, 13/8) carries the strongest composite case: a perfect 1-1 form line, the Appleby/Buick axis firing at 33%/25% career strike rates respectively — the most potent training and riding combination in the field — and a step up to Group 2 that is ambitious but supported by the quality of those two wins. The 70-day absence is the principal concern, but Appleby routinely targets big two-year-old prizes fresh and his horses arrive ready. Sea Of Rain (SR 110) holds the highest SR and is steaming in the market (Mkt:in14%), but a MarkMv:+14 penalty and a form line showing 1 win from 6 suggests the handicapper has caught up; Musical Times's unbeaten profile looks cleaner. Scommessa Sicura (SR 108) is a threat at 6/1 but a five-race record showing five placed finishes without a win at this class level (MarkMv:+10) raises the question of whether she can get her head in front under pressure. Each-way alternative: Sea Of Rain. Main danger: Sea Of Rain — Sea Of Rain holds the field's top SR at 110, is steaming in the market (Mkt:in14%) at 11/2, and last-time-out form showing a win (rightmost digit 1) on a DistFit:+ record over today's mile gives it a credible live claim despite the elevated mark.
Full result
Winner: Musical Times (IRE) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Musical Times Fox #1 6/5
-
2
Scommessa Sicura Fox #3 13/2
-
3
Speckles 11/1
-
4
Eabha Fox #4 12/1
-
5
Martinet 40/1
-
6
Tall Trees 22/1
-
7
Sea Of Rain Fox #2 6/1
-
8
Beguiled 11/1
-
9
Thuritha 125/1
-
10
Ballyskeagh 13/2
-
11
Tie A Navyribbon 200/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Musical Times 13/8 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
-
2
Sea Of Rain 11/2 7TH
-
3
Scommessa Sicura 6/1 🥈 2ND
-
4
Eabha 10/1 🏁 4TH