← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Glass Times EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Astabuen
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Astabuen (SR 153, 7/2) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has seen significant market support — shortening 14% from opening price — which on a 10-runner novice at Class 3 is a meaningful endorsement from those with inside knowledge. Ed Walker operates at a solid 16% strike rate, and George Downing at 10% is acceptable for a juvenile novice. The SR 153 mark dwarfs all but Lots Road (SR 152) and is 7-9 points clear of the next cluster. While distance and going fitness are unproven for most runners here, the market's strong vote for Astabuen over Lots Road — which has drifted significantly despite an even stronger SR — gives the edge to Astabuen. Its single run (a third-place finish) at Class 3 keeping the same class designation confirms it is already racing at an appropriate level. Each-way alternative: Lots Road. Main danger: Lots Road — Lots Road (SR 152, 4/1) has steamed in 39% in the market — the sharpest move in the field — and despite a last-time-out 8th has dropped a class (ClassMv:↓1) with Ralph Beckett (19% strike rate) and Hector Crouch (19%) forming the strongest trainer-jockey combination numerically on the card, making it the most credible threat to Astabuen.
Full result
Winner: Quite Cheeky (IRE) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Quite Cheeky Fox #4 8/1
-
2
Astabuen Fox #1 7/2
-
3
Give Hand 13/2
-
4
Montalbano Fox #3 15/2
-
5
Louis The Fifth 11/2
-
6
Lots Road Fox #2 9/4
-
7
Desert Symphony 18/1
-
8
Pressured 100/1
-
9
Fourth Crusade 14/1
-
10
My Spritely 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Astabuen 7/2 🥈 2ND
-
2
Lots Road 4/1 6TH
-
3
Montalbano 5/1 🏁 4TH
-
4
Quite Cheeky 6/1 SP 7/1 🏆 WON