← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Flat Out Flat Glass Solutions Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Norcross Brow
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Norcross Brow holds the highest SR in the field at 91, carries a favourable 9-8 with a 3lb weight advantage over top-weight Dapper Guest, and arrives on the back of a strong 3-1-2-1-1-2 form string — four wins or seconds from last six including back-to-back wins in the sequence. Trainer Charlie Clover fires at an impressive 20% strike rate from 166 runners, Cieren Fallon rides at 18% and is a high-quality booking for this class, and the market has shortened 11% since opening — money is coming. The DistFit:+ confirms he handles this trip, and while the going query (GoingFit:?) is a flag, his form on Good to Soft equivalents is not demonstrably poor. The MarkMv:+5 and ClassMv:↑1 are genuine questions, but the SR edge and trainer/jockey combination at a supportive price of 4/1 make him the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Uppercase. Main danger: Uppercase — Uppercase (SR:88, 9/2) has steamed in 45% in the market — the most aggressive move in the field — holds Course:W1P1 at Epsom, DistFit:+, and a recent form string of -9-3-1-1-8 showing back-to-back wins before the last run, giving legitimate claims to take this if the market money is well-informed.
Full result
Winner: Dapper Guest (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dapper Guest Fox #3 9/2
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2
Musical Angel 11/1
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3
Norcross Brow Fox #1 4/1
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4
Uppercase Fox #2 9/2
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5
Silver Trumpet Fox #4 4/1
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6
Cuban Lady 9/1
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7
Daring Legend 11/1
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8
Euphonia 12/1
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9
Galileo Island 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4