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Chigwell Group - The Trade's Front Runner Handicap Stakes

15:07 Epsom Thu 10 Sep 2026 1m2f17y Class 5 Good to Soft 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Carnival Day silks

Carnival Day

SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 SP 5/2F Est. 32%

🏆 WON

Mr Fox says

Carnival Day (SR:82, 9/4) is the highest-rated credible contender once weight and form are weighed properly, and the 19% market move in signals strong professional backing. GoingFit:+ is the decisive edge in this field — today's good to soft is confirmed ground for this horse, while the two market rivals Patrol and Beach Point show GoingFit:- and GoingFit:? respectively. The drop in class (↓1) and a 1lb mark relief (MarkMv:-1) further stack conditions in Carnival Day's favour, and Pat Cosgrave's booking — a strike rate of 11% across nearly 1,000 rides — is a solid if unspectacular partnership. The recent form string -37453 shows consistency without brilliance, but a horse stepping down in class on its proven going type with market support is the cleanest story in the race. Each-way alternative: Patrol. Main danger: Patrol — Patrol (SR:85, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and has shortened 12% in the market, suggesting genuine confidence from connections, though GoingFit:- is a real concern on today's ground and the visor first-time use adds an unknown variable.

Verify· #17010

Full result

Winner: Carnival Day (IRE) at SP 5/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Carnival Day silks Carnival Day Fox #1 Jim Boyle · Pat Cosgrave 9/4
  2. 2 Beach Point silks Beach Point Fox #3 William Knight · Hector Crouch 9/2
  3. 3 Patrol silks Patrol Fox #2 Dylan Cunha · Jack Callan 3/1
  4. 4 Moonrunner silks Moonrunner Charlie Fellowes · Kaiya Fraser 9/2
  5. 5 Super Hit silks Super Hit Fox #4 James Owen · Cieren Fallon 10/1
  6. 6 Bobacious silks Bobacious Mark Hoad · Liam Wright(3) 12/1
  7. 7 Skibo silks Skibo Barry Brennan · Tyler Heard 50/1
  8. 8 Thankyou Baroness silks Thankyou Baroness Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque · Benoit de la Sayette 50/1
  9. 9 Yokkell silks Yokkell Adrian Wintle · George Wood 18/1
  10. — Barry's Boy silks Barry's Boy Denis Coakley · George Bass 18/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Carnival Day silks Carnival Day 9/4 SP 5/2F 🏆 WON
  2. 2 Patrol silks Patrol 3/1 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Beach Point silks Beach Point 9/2 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 Super Hit silks Super Hit 9/1 5TH