← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
CopyBet Bog Now For Doncaster Tomorrow Handicap Hurdle Race (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Ikigai Star
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Ikigai Star (SR:80, 10/3) carries 11-7 — a significant 7lb weight advantage over top-weight Bathara (SR:90, 12-0) — and that mark is 11lb lower than at last win (MarkMv:-11), giving connections a major handicap pull. The 7% market move in (Mkt:in7%) shows real confidence from the yard, and Charlie Longsdon (16% strike rate, 714 runners) books David Bass (15% career SR, 495 runners) — a quality pairing for a race they clearly fancy. Two places at Worcester (Course:W0P2) confirm course familiarity, and while GoingFit is only moderate (~), the good ground here is not a clear negative. Bathara's SR-90 head superiority is largely negated by 7lb of dead weight at the top, a poor distance record (DistFit:-), and a 9% market drift. Each-way alternative: Traveling Soldier. Main danger: Traveling Soldier — Olly Murphy (24% strike rate) and Sean Bowen (24% strike rate) are an elite pairing, Traveling Soldier has five places at Worcester (Course:W0P5) confirming course affinity, and GoingFit:+ suggests the conditions suit — though the 11% drift and MarkMv:-2 (minimal drop) temper enthusiasm.
Full result
Winner: Farhh Echo (IRE) at SP 11/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Farhh Echo 50/1
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2
Babychino 12/1
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3
Traveling Soldier Fox #2 3/1
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4
Inca 6/1
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5
Dynamite Defense 33/1
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6
Usyk 16/1
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7
Ikigai Star Fox #1 10/3
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8
American Empire 13/2
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9
Bathara Fox #3 7/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ikigai Star 10/3 7TH
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2
Traveling Soldier 9/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Bathara 7/2 9TH