← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Vintage Clarets
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Vintage Clarets (SR 95, 5/2) is the clear class leader in this field and carries a favourable 8-11 — a meaningful weight advantage over Baker Blue (SR 94, 9-9) who drifted 22% from opening. The MarkMv:-14 signal is significant: running off a mark 14lb lower than last win represents a massive drop into a winning opportunity, and the market has reacted accordingly with a 43% inward move. Course:W2P4 at Chester confirms this specialist track holds no fears, and the Fahey yard's 10% strike rate across 554 runners is a solid platform. The GoingFit:~ is a mild concern on Good to Soft but the weight relief and class superiority override it. Each-way alternative: Kodiac Thriller. Main danger: Baker Blue — Baker Blue (SR 94) matches Vintage Clarets on ability, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and carries only 9-9 — a 2lb pull — though the 22% drift needs explaining before committing.
Full result
Winner: Baker Blue (GB) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Baker Blue Fox #2 4/1
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2
Roman Dragon 14/1
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3
Betsen 18/1
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4
Temple Of Athena 9/1
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5
Tricky Tel 20/1
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6
Manila Scouse 5/1
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7
Vintage Clarets Fox #1 5/2
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8
Exclamation Fox #4 16/1
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9
Kodiac Thriller Fox #3 11/2
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10
Aces Wild 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Vintage Clarets 5/2 7TH
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2
Baker Blue 4/1 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Kodiac Thriller 15/2 9TH
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4
Exclamation 14/1 8TH