← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Sugar Sugar
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Sugar Sugar (SR:83, 4/1, Wgt:9-0) is the highest-rated horse in the field and benefits enormously from carrying the joint-lowest weight — a 12lb pull on Hilltop and So Sassy (both 9-12) translates to a meaningful physical advantage over 7f1y on good to soft ground. The market has backed her in 28% since opening, the strongest steam in the race, suggesting informed confidence in her current condition. DistFit:+ confirms she handles this trip, and a recent form line of 932152 — with the last run a second — shows she is running consistently near her peak. The +2 mark move is minimal and manageable given the weight advantage she holds over classmates with lower SRs. Each-way alternative: Bami. Main danger: Ghisa — Ghisa (SR:81, 5/1, Wgt:9-8) has steamed in 22% in the market — the second-strongest move in the race — carries a handy weight, shows DistFit:+ at this trip, and the drop in class (↓1) means she faces easier rivals than her last run, making her the most plausible threat to derail Sugar Sugar.
Full result
Winner: Ghisa (IRE) at SP 7/2F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ghisa Fox #3 4/1
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2
Homestrait 7/1
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3
Rogue Citation 6/1
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4
Hilltop 18/1
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5
Emery Down 22/1
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6
Moonlight Melody 50/1
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7
Diamont Katie 13/2
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8
So Sassy 10/1
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9
Kindest Nation 28/1
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10
Mollie Foster 40/1
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11
Imelda 16/1
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12
Sugar Sugar Fox #1 4/1
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13
Lady Gormire Fox #4 9/1
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—
Bami Fox #2 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sugar Sugar 4/1 12TH
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2
Bami 10/1
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3
Ghisa 5/1 SP 7/2F 🏆 WON
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4
Lady Gormire 7/1 13TH