← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Stallion Studs EBF Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Silver Lake
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/4 SP 13/8F Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Silver Lake (SR 100, 7/4) carries the highest SR in the field by a clear margin and arrives on a career-best three-timer with a form string of 63111 — the three consecutive wins are recent and progressive. William Haggas (23% strike rate, 1991 runners) is the strongest training operation in the field, and James Doyle (21%, 1,158 runners) is an elite booking. The 6% market shortening confirms quiet money behind the selection, and at 9-5 she holds a weight advantage over top-weight Salamanca City (9-12) despite the superior SR. The tongue-tie addition is the only slight unknown, but on a three-race winning streak at the same class it looks precautionary rather than a red flag. Each-way alternative: Nochebuena. Main danger: Nochebuena — Nochebuena (SR 98, 4/1) has course form (W1P1 at Doncaster), has steamed in 20% in the market, Ralph Beckett (19%) is a reliable yard at this level, and despite stepping up one class she carries only 9-0 — a full stone less than Salamanca City and 5lb less than Silver Lake, which could be decisive over this stamina-testing 1m3f197y trip on good to soft ground.
Full result
Winner: Silver Lake (GB) at SP 13/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Silver Lake Fox #1 7/4
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2
Thatwilldoso 33/1
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3
Room Fourteen Fox #4 5/1
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4
Bint Al Daar 125/1
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5
Salamanca City 12/1
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6
Golden Muse 14/1
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7
Aequitas 66/1
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8
Green Sky 22/1
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9
Nochebuena Fox #2 9/2
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10
Ruby Wedding Fox #3 4/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Silver Lake 7/4 SP 13/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Nochebuena 4/1 9TH
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3
Ruby Wedding 5/1 10TH
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4
Room Fourteen 11/2 🥉 3RD