← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Skytree Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
New Oxford
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
New Oxford (SR 154, 9/4) is second only to Burningringoffire in the SR rankings but carries a critical market advantage: a 24% inward move from opening prices signals genuine confidence from those closest to the horse, while Burningringoffire (SR 150, 10/3) has drifted 7% out. Harry Charlton's yard operates at a solid 16% strike rate and Lewis Edmunds has a decent book of 1,839 career rides, suggesting a trusted stable-jockey partnership. New Oxford ran a fourth last time out at Class 3, confirming he handles this level, and the market move is the decisive differentiator over the joint-favourite whose drift is a clear negative signal. Waaqed (SR 152) is the primary danger — Gosden operation at 24% strike rate is the standout yard in the field and a second on debut is excellent juvenile form — but the neutral market movement on Waaqed versus the strong inward money on New Oxford tips the scales. Each-way alternative: Waaqed. Main danger: Waaqed — Waaqed (SR 152, 10/3) is trained by the Gosdens at a field-topping 24% strike rate, ran a solid second on debut, and sits just 2 SR points below New Oxford — any further market tightening would make this the play.
Full result
Winner: Burningringoffire (IRE) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Burningringoffire Fox #3 4/1
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2
Iron Curtain 9/1
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3
New Oxford Fox #1 13/8
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4
Hoshi Fox #4 22/1
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5
Royal Authority 12/1
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6
Golden Eagle 40/1
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7
Waaqed Fox #2 10/3
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8
Vestre Moon 14/1
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9
Kosima 28/1
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10
Camelot Castle 125/1
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11
General Wolfe 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
New Oxford 9/4 🥉 3RD
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2
Waaqed 10/3 7TH
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3
Burningringoffire 10/3 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
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4
Hoshi 20/1 🏁 4TH