← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Weatherbys Stallion Book Persian Punch Conditions Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Quickthorn
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Quickthorn (SR 115, 3/1) is the standout on race-specific fit despite not leading on raw SR. Course:W2P2 at Salisbury is a decisive edge in a five-runner field, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he handles today's 1m6f44y on good-to-soft better than any rival, and his mark has dropped 3lb since his last win (MarkMv:-3) — the most favourable handicap position in the race. Hector Crouch's 19% career strike rate is the strongest jockey number on the card. The concern is age (9) and a recent fifth, but the course-and-distance record on this going is concrete evidence that no other runner can match. Each-way alternative: Amiloc. Main danger: Amiloc — Amiloc (SR 112, 11/10 favourite) is trained by Ralph Beckett at 19% strike rate with Rossa Ryan aboard, dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), and is on a mark 5lb higher than his last win — if that mark is still within reach on this drop in class, he has the market's full confidence and the ability to dominate a thin field.
Full result
Winner: Amiloc (GB) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Amiloc Fox #2 1/2
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2
Soul Icon 28/1
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3
Nightime Dancer 14/1
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4
Quickthorn Fox #1 9/4
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Lion's Pride Fox #3 -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3