← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sri Lanka Paradise Island Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Christian David
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Christian David (SR:93, 9/4) combines the joint-second SR in the field with a 26% market support move — the money is clearly talking. Running off a mark 5lb lower than his last win (MarkMv:-5), dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), and carrying just 9-5 makes this a horse with every structural advantage. The form string 454534 shows consistent placing without winning, but the class drop and sliding mark change the equation materially. Richard Hannon (12%) with Joe Leavy (12%) is a workmanlike but competent combination, and the blinkers on — a first-time headgear addition worth noting — may sharpen focus at this shorter trip on good ground. Each-way alternative: The Angel King. Main danger: The Angel King — The Angel King (SR:91, 6/1) has been backed in a dramatic 38% from the opening price — the strongest market move in the race — and the class drop gives it a softer opportunity, even if the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- remain concerns the market appears willing to overlook.
Full result
Winner: Huscal (IRE) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Huscal Fox #3 9/2
-
2
The Angel King Fox #2 3/1
-
3
Philanthropist 4/1
-
4
Zabeel Alkabeir 20/1
-
5
Christian David Fox #1 9/4
-
6
Sea Founder 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3