← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sri Lanka Wonder Of Asia Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Distant Shore
MEDIUM Advised 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Distant Shore (SR:96, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and has been backed dramatically from a much larger price to 9/4 — a 45% market move inward is the strongest money signal on the card and demands respect. Roger Varian (20% strike rate, 1379 runners) is a top yard who doesn't steam horses without purpose, and Jack Mitchell (16%) is a reliable partner. The DistFit:+ confirms proven ability over today's 7f trip, and carrying 9-10 at Class 4 is entirely manageable for the top SR in the field. The Form of -35226 shows consistency at this level without a recent win, but the market is clearly expecting a step forward — possibly from the headgear (HG:h) or a return to a trip that suits. Each-way alternative: Dream Vega. Main danger: Dream Vega — Dream Vega (SR:92, 9/4) matches Distant Shore on market price, has shortened 12% since opening, boasts a Form of 421 showing progressive improvement culminating in a win, and Ed Walker (16% strike rate) is a reliable handler for a lightly-raced filly on the same mark she last won off — the 62-day absence is the only query.
Full result
Winner: Allegrino (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Allegrino Fox #4 6/1
-
2
Distant Shore Fox #1 15/8
-
3
Vanilla Skies 8/1
-
4
Lyra Lea Fox #3 8/1
-
5
Brisk Symphony 50/1
-
6
Souffler 33/1
-
7
Dream Vega Fox #2 9/4
-
—
Gesayed 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4