← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sporting Times Apprentice Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Royal Poetry
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Royal Poetry (SR 84, 13/2) is the most compelling case in this field. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) off a 272120 form line that includes back-to-back placed efforts, proven at today's trip (DistFit:+), and crucially steaming in the market with a 25% move since opening — money is talking here. Seamus Cronin posts a 15% career strike rate from 62 rides, strong for an apprentice, and the Hannon yard operates at 12% from nearly 2,800 runners, giving stable confidence. The weight of 9-10 sits comfortably in the middle of the field, carrying 2lb less than top-weight Tipsy Tiger and only 8lb more than the bottom weight, so no penalty burden here. Each-way alternative: Del Corso. Main danger: Del Corso — Del Corso (SR 89, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a strong recent form line of 342113 and proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), and despite stepping up in class and a GoingFit:- concern, the raw SR advantage and Ashley Lewis's 14% strike rate make it the most likely winner if the going plays less of a role than anticipated.
Full result
Winner: Dancing Tiger (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Dancing Tiger 18/1
-
2
Del Corso Fox #2 3/1
-
3
Plan C 8/1
-
4
Tipsy Tiger Fox #4 5/1
-
5
Mr Seagull Fox #3 7/2
-
6
Royal Poetry Fox #1 7/1
-
7
Molo Del Palazzo 4/1
-
—
Letmebetheboss 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Royal Poetry 13/2 6TH
-
2
Del Corso 9/4 🥈 2ND
-
3
Mr Seagull 7/2 5TH
-
4
Tipsy Tiger 7/1 🏁 4TH