← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Alec Smith Is Getting Married Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Typeface
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Typeface (SR:63, 11/4, Wgt:9-4) is the clear SR leader in a weak Class 6 field and has been backed in sharply — a 24% market move from the opening price is the most significant market signal in the race and demands respect. The form reads 7-6433, showing progressive placed efforts in recent starts, and the tp headgear (tongue-tie plus cheekpieces) is retained from presumably those runs, suggesting connections are happy with the setup. At 9-4 he carries a reasonable weight and gets a comfortable class match (ClassMv:=), while MarkMv:+3 is a minor rise off a placed finish rather than an exposed ceiling. DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are not ideal but the horse has form in similar conditions and the market money has clearly identified this as the winner. Each-way alternative: Desert Charm. Main danger: Desert Charm — Desert Charm (SR:61, 5/1, Wgt:9-9) has GoingFit:+ confirmed on today's good ground and produced a win and a place in recent form (31128 rightmost = last was 8th but the prior two runs show a win and third), carrying enough ability at this level to capitalise if Typeface's market move proves premature — though the 18% drift is a concern worth watching.
Full result
Winner: Amarachi (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Amarachi Fox #4 5/1
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2
Freedom Bay 9/2
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3
Desert Charm Fox #2 9/2
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4
Typeface Fox #1 3/1
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5
Coiled 25/1
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6
Eye Of The Water 20/1
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7
Rival 22/1
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8
Lady V 28/1
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9
Quite Sweet 22/1
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10
Mooretown Lad 18/1
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11
Girls Allowed 28/1
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12
Thai Princess 33/1
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13
Who Is Alice Fox #3 5/1
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14
Savvi Row 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Typeface 11/4 🏁 4TH
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2
Desert Charm 5/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Who Is Alice 9/2 13TH
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4
Amarachi 9/2 SP 9/2 🏆 WON