← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Lee Martin 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Vixey
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Vixey (SR:79, 11/2) is the most compelling package in this field. Course:W2P4 at Chester is outstanding specialist form, DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles both today's trip and good-to-soft ground — a rare double green in this field. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) brings her into an easier contest, and the market has firmed 7% to endorse her. Carrying 9-7, she has a meaningful weight advantage over Best Rate (10-3) and Hot Cash (9-9) while posting a higher SR than Be Frank and Tele Red on comparable weight. The form figure sequence ending in '5' is recent but the class drop and course expertise override that concern. Each-way alternative: Hot Cash. Main danger: Hot Cash — Hot Cash (SR:84, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has steamed in 23% in the market, carries a favourable MarkMv:-5, and Cieren Fallon's 18% career strike rate is the strongest jockey booking on the card — if the GoingFit:- concern is overstated, he is a serious threat.
Full result
Winner: Vidmiyr (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Vidmiyr Fox #3 6/1
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2
Hot Cash Fox #2 4/1
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3
Best Rate 7/1
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4
Vixey Fox #1 9/2
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5
Be Frank Fox #4 4/1
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6
Zermatt Star 5/1
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7
Tele Red 10/1
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8
Rascal Recknell 40/1
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Walsingham -
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Giant 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4