← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Lee Martin 60th Birthday Celebration Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
The Resdev Scholar
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
The Resdev Scholar (SR 88, 11/4) carries the lightest weight among the leading contenders at 9-1, giving him a 3lb advantage over Crazee Icon (SR 91, 9-4) and meaningful lbs edges throughout the field — critical on Chester's tight, stamina-sapping track in good-to-soft ground. The market has shortened 7% since opening, indicating quiet professional support, and his Course:W0P2 record shows he handles Chester. His form string 433024 shows a recent near-miss finish and consistent placing; running off a mark 5lb above his last win is offset by the weight allowance he enjoys relative to rivals. Crazee Icon carries the highest SR at 91 but has drifted 14% and holds a MarkMv:+5 on a distance where his record is only moderate (DistFit:~), making the Scholar the stronger composite case here. Each-way alternative: Midnight Strike. Main danger: Crazee Icon — Crazee Icon holds the field's highest SR at 91, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and has an outstanding course record of W2P3 at Chester — the strongest course specialisation in the race — which could overcome his 14% market drift and moderate distance record.
Full result
Winner: Crazee Icon (GB) at SP 9/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Crazee Icon Fox #2 5/2
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2
Apache Outlaw 11/2
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3
Kindest Nation 16/1
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4
Dublin Bay 12/1
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5
Eagle Bay Fox #4 15/2
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6
Priapos 20/1
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7
The Resdev Scholar Fox #1 11/4
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8
Midnight Strike Fox #3 10/1
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9
Ganodin 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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