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Mr Fox’s call
Spartan Arrow
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Spartan Arrow (SR 99, 5/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and arrives off a mark 13lb lower than his last win — the single most favourable MarkMv reading in this race. His market has steamed in 49%, the strongest support signal here, suggesting stable confidence in a significant drop in class (ClassMv:↓1). Crucially he is GoingFit:+ on today's good AW surface and Archie Watson's 15% yard strike rate confirms a live operation; with Ashley Lewis taking the ride and weight carried matching the field's lightest competitive burden at 9-8, the combination of SR leadership, market move and mark drop makes him the clearest case. The recent form string of 880770 is unimpressive on the face of it, but a 13lb mark reduction means he's being targeted at a significantly easier opportunity, and connections would not have steamered from a morning price to 5/1 without genuine intent. Each-way alternative: Kylian. Main danger: Kylian — Kylian (SR 95, 9/2) has steamed in 36%, holds course form of W1P1 at Lingfield AW, carries GoingFit:+ and arrives off a mark 14lb below his last win — a near-identical set-up to Spartan Arrow but with the added edge of proven course-and-distance credentials that give him every chance of reversing the SR deficit.
Full result
Winner: Tatterstall (IRE) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tatterstall Fox #3 13/2
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2
Regal Envoy 9/1
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3
Law Of Average Fox #4 5/1
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4
Dandana 13/2
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5
Michaela's Boy 20/1
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6
Kylian Fox #2 10/3
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7
Spartan Arrow Fox #1 9/2
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8
Layla Liz 18/1
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9
Solar Edge 9/1
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10
Our Cody 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Spartan Arrow 5/1 7TH
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2
Kylian 9/2 6TH
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3
Tatterstall 11/2 SP 13/2 🏆 WON
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4
Law Of Average 6/1 🥉 3RD