← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Kyoto
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Kyoto (SR:61, 5/1) posts the second-highest SR in the field while carrying a favourable 9-7, and the market has steamed in 21% — the strongest positive market move in this field by some distance, signalling informed confidence. Course form of W0P2 at Lingfield confirms track familiarity, and while the 94-day absence is a concern, the significant market support suggests connections are happy with the horse's condition. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ on today's 6f1y good-ground surface mean nothing stands out against this selection, and the drop from the favourite Mart's 3/1 to 5/1 here represents genuine value given the alignment of SR, weight, and market signals. Each-way alternative: Walking On Clouds. Main danger: Mart — Mart carries the field's highest SR (62), a MarkMv:-19 suggesting a significant handicap drop, and a 31% market steam — if the distance and going concerns are overstated, this horse wins.
Full result
Winner: Iconic Dawn (GB) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Iconic Dawn 13/2
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2
Alashos 14/1
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3
Henry Tudor 10/1
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4
Mayfair Market 28/1
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5
Rianka 12/1
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6
Walking On Clouds Fox #3 5/1
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7
Magic Lady Mae 40/1
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8
Kyoto Fox #1 10/3
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9
Mart Fox #2 5/2
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10
Exhibitioning Fox #4 12/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kyoto 5/1 8TH
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2
Mart 3/1 9TH
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3
Walking On Clouds 5/1 6TH
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4
Exhibitioning 11/1 10TH