← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Coolmore America 'Justify' Matron Stakes (Group 1)
Mr Fox’s call
Blue Bolt
HIGH Advised 4/5 SP 4/5F Est. 42%
Mr Fox says
Blue Bolt (SR 132, 4/5) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 5 points clear of Precise (SR 127) and 20+ points ahead of the rest. The form string 2-1111 confirms relentless consistency, the market has steamed in by 19% to odds-on, and both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm this mile on good ground is squarely in the wheelhouse. Andrew Balding (18% SR) has Colin Keane booked — a sharp combination — and the ClassMv:= signals no step up in class from what this mare has already conquered. There is no credible stopper at the prices. Each-way alternative: Precise. Main danger: Precise — Precise (SR 127, 5/2) carries the significant advantage of the Ryan Moore/A P O'Brien combination — the yard's designated #1 runner per Stable:1 signal — with DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed, and although a 12% market drift is a mild concern, the SR gap to Blue Bolt is not insurmountable if the favourite fails to fire on the day.
Full result
Winner: Blue Bolt (IRE) at SP 4/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Blue Bolt Fox #1 5/6
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2
City Of Memphis Fox #3 10/1
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3
Fallen Angel 11/1
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4
Duckadilly 125/1
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5
Precise Fox #2 5/2
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6
True Love Fox #4 15/2
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7
Meriden 125/1
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8
Carolina Jetstream 100/1
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9
Pivotal Attack 100/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Blue Bolt 4/5 SP 4/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Precise 5/2 5TH
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3
City Of Memphis 11/1 🥈 2ND
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4
True Love 8/1 6TH