← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Mr Tony
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Mr Tony (SR:73, 7/2) carries the second-best SR in the field at a weight of 9-4, a full 12lb lighter than top-weight Eutropia (SR:75, 10-0), which effectively neutralises any marginal SR deficit. His form string 0413-1 shows a last-time-out win, and his DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at today's mile trip. Trainer Owen Burrows operates at a strong 22% strike rate from 389 runners — the standout training operation in this field — and Jason Callan at 14% is a solid booking. The 67-day absence is a minor concern, but the blinkers reapplied and the class rise (↑1) is manageable given the quality of his last win, and the 7/2 market suggests stable confidence. Each-way alternative: Albus Anne. Main danger: Eutropia — Eutropia (SR:75, 11/4) holds the highest SR in the field, has won twice and placed twice at Bath specifically (Course:W2P2), has steamed in 13% in the market, and drops three class levels — all strong signals that could override the 12lb weight concession to Mr Tony.
Full result
Winner: Danehill Star (IRE) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Danehill Star 10/1
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2
Dark Rosa 15/2
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3
Chelio Fox #4 17/2
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4
Mr Tony Fox #1 7/2
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5
Grimese's Special 100/1
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6
Albus Anne Fox #3 5/1
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7
Dappled Light 11/1
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8
Sagremor 25/1
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9
Eutropia Fox #2 5/2
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10
Flag Carrier 10/1
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—
Station Bar 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Mr Tony 7/2 🏁 4TH
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2
Eutropia 11/4 9TH
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3
Albus Anne 8/1 6TH
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4
Chelio 9/1 🥉 3RD