← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Comer Group International Irish St. Leger
Mr Fox’s call
Scandinavia
HIGH Advised 2/7 SP 4/11F Est. 62%
Mr Fox says
Scandinavia (SR:136, 2/7) is the dominant force in this field by a significant margin — a 9-point SR gap over the next-best Jan Brueghel (SR:127) is substantial, and the form string 1-1111 is flawless, showing four consecutive wins culminating in a strong recent peak. Ryan Moore (24% career strike rate, 1,020 runners) is the yard's #1 booking over Ronan Whelan on Jan Brueghel and Wayne Lordan on Queenstown, confirming A P O'Brien's primary runner. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on today's 1m6f Good ground remove any doubt about trip or conditions, and while MarkMv:+8 signals a rising mark, the SR:136 comfortably absorbs that in a field of this quality. The 2/7 price fully reflects the case, but on the available evidence there is no credible challenger. Each-way alternative: Jan Brueghel. Main danger: Jan Brueghel — Jan Brueghel (SR:127) has shortened 6% in the market, carries a MarkMv:-5 (running off a mark 5lb below last win), holds an excellent Course:W2P3 record at the Curragh, and GoingFit:+ confirms conditions suit — the strongest résumé of any rival and the only realistic threat to the jolly.
Full result
Winner: Scandinavia (USA) at SP 4/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Scandinavia Fox #1 2/7
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2
Queenstown 25/1
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3
Jan Brueghel Fox #2 5/1
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4
Trustyourinstinct Fox #3 9/1
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5
Leinster 100/1
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6
Arabian Force 66/1
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7
Tennessee Stud 50/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Scandinavia 2/7 SP 4/11F 🏆 WON
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2
Jan Brueghel 11/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Trustyourinstinct 10/1 🏁 4TH