← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Bill & Teresa Florentines 50th Anniversary Handicap Steeple Chase (ARC Summer Chase Series Qualifier)
Mr Fox’s call
Mr McWhinny
MEDIUM Advised 8/11 SP 10/11F Est. 45%
Mr Fox says
Mr McWhinny (SR 97, 8/11) is the clear class leader in this five-runner Class 5 handicap, with an SR 13 points clear of the next-best Clean Getaway (SR 84). His recent form of -14141 shows consistent winning at this level — three wins from his last five completed runs — and he arrives just seven days fresh off a victory, suggesting peak fitness. He carries 10-12, the joint-lowest weight alongside Clean Getaway, negating any burden concern. The market has shortened 6% from opening, confirming professional confidence, and at 8/11 the implied probability (~55%) is aggressive but the underlying case merits being short-priced in a thin five-runner field where no rival comes close on ability. Each-way alternative: Clean Getaway. Main danger: Clean Getaway — Clean Getaway (SR 84, 7/1) has steamed in 21% in the market — the sharpest move in the field — carries joint-lowest weight of 10-12, holds a strong course record of W5P8 at Sedgefield, and has dropped 3lb below his last winning mark, meaning connections clearly believe the track specialist is primed for a big run even if his recent placed-only sequence suggests he'll need Mr McWhinny to blunder.
Full result
Winner: Mr Mcwhinny (IRE) at SP 10/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Mr McWhinny Fox #1 10/11
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2
Tom Creen 17/2
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3
Clean Getaway Fox #2 11/2
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4
Achille Des Rocs Fox #3 4/1
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5
Maggies Boy 8/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3