← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Nsi Fire & Security Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Electric Bass
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Electric Bass leads the field on SR (60) and is being backed significantly — a 10% market move inward from a yard (Roger Teal, 13%) booking a jockey with a 16% career strike rate in Jack Mitchell. The horse carries 9-9 but that weight is shared by two others, so no particular penalty burden relative to peers. A DistFit:+ confirms suitability for 1m3f99y, and while GoingFit:~ is only moderate on good ground, it is not a red flag. The form string -22534 shows consistent competitiveness; last-out fourth is a workable foundation given the class has not moved (ClassMv:=). The combination of top SR, steaming market, proven distance suitability, and competent connections makes this the most compelling case in a modest Class 6 field. Each-way alternative: Crazy Plan. Main danger: Crazy Plan — Crazy Plan holds the second-highest SR in the field (62) and carries a favourable 9-0, giving it a 9lb weight advantage over the leaders — a meaningful edge over 1m3f on good ground — with trainer Dan Horsford operating at a 16% strike rate and Rossa Ryan booked at 18%, though the drift from 3/1 outward 8% is a mild concern.
Full result
Winner: Amalou (GB) at SP 22/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Amalou 22/1
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2
Time After Time Fox #3 7/2
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3
Artavian 9/1
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4
Shabu Shabu 10/1
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5
Jimmy Mark 14/1
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6
Madame Passant 11/1
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7
Electric Bass Fox #1 4/1
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8
Keeper Of Secrets 18/1
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9
Churchill's Spirit 28/1
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10
Offiah's Boy Fox #4 12/1
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11
Crazy Plan Fox #2 3/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Electric Bass 7/2 7TH
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2
Crazy Plan 3/1 11TH
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3
Time After Time 6/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Offiah's Boy 9/1 10TH