← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Albegone
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Albegone (SR:72, 7/2) is the clear class leader in this field — 6 SR points clear of the next-best Golden Havana and Under The Radar — and carries just 9-5, a favourable weight for that ability edge. The form string 726512 shows a last-time-out second and a recent win two runs ago at the same class level, confirming peak form. Market has shortened 18% since opening, signalling stable confidence, and Course:W0P3 shows familiarity with Redcar. Tim Easterby's yard (11%, 4520 runners) is consistent, and Jake Dickson's 13% strike rate on a small but meaningful sample adds further confidence. The DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are the only mild concerns — not proven at the elite level at 5f on good — but the class advantage over this field compensates. Each-way alternative: Dc Cogent. Main danger: Under The Radar — Under The Radar (SR:66, 13/2) shares the same SR as Golden Havana, carries only 9-6 — 1lb less than Albegone — and Tim Easterby's stable has form with progressive 3-year-olds at this level, though the GoingFit:- and DistFit:- are genuine concerns that keep it behind the selection.
Full result
Winner: Hurt You Never (IRE) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Hurt You Never 16/1
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2
Dc Cogent Fox #4 8/1
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3
Houndhill 16/1
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4
Midnight Lir 16/1
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5
Speeding Bullet 15/2
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6
Under The Radar Fox #3 7/1
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7
Muker 12/1
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8
Zuffolo 18/1
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9
Albegone Fox #1 7/2
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10
Cheerleader 9/1
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11
Betweenthesticks 17/2
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12
Golden Havana Fox #2 9/1
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13
Ice Cold Alex 20/1
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—
King of The Jungle 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Albegone 7/2 9TH
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2
Golden Havana 17/2 12TH
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3
Under The Radar 13/2 6TH
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4
Dc Cogent 7/1 🥈 2ND