← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Watch Party
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/5 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Watch Party (SR 157, 6/5) is the highest-rated runner in the field by a meaningful margin and is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1), which in a novice context means she arrives with a form advantage already demonstrated at a higher level — her sole run produced a third, suggesting she is already competitive and improving. The market has continued to back her (Mkt:in5%) and Roger Varian's 20% career strike rate with 1,384 runners is the strongest training profile in the field. Ray Dawson's booking is consistent for a yard happy with this runner. The chief concern is soft ground with no GoingFit data, but at 6/5 she is nonetheless the standout on SR and class. Each-way alternative: Sea La Roma. Main danger: Sea La Roma — Sea La Roma (SR 153) is the second-highest rated runner, trained by William Haggas whose 23% career strike rate is the best in the field, and Tom Marquand is a high-profile booking that commands respect — if this debutante has been prepared well for soft ground she could easily upstage Watch Party on first-time-out freshness.
Full result
Winner: Chasing Daylight (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Chasing Daylight Fox #4 6/1
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2
Sea La Roma Fox #2 3/1
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3
Watch Party Fox #1 11/8
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4
Buyback 28/1
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5
You're Sensational Fox #3 7/1
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6
Wintour 16/1
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7
Blue Corn 18/1
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8
Speaking Tree 12/1
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9
Appassionata 125/1
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Ambience 14/1
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Izabel 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Watch Party 6/5 🥉 3RD
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2
Sea La Roma 10/3 🥈 2ND
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3
You're Sensational 6/1 5TH
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4
Chasing Daylight 15/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON