Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

16:10 Punchestown Tue 15 Sep 2026 1m1f30y Good 14 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Harana

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Harana leads this field on SR (81) by a meaningful margin over her nearest rivals, and at 4/1 the market is aligned with her ability. She carries 10-0 but her SR advantage is large enough to absorb the weight — a 6lb edge on Sweet Baby Zou (SR 71, 9-1) and 10lb on Lady Arwen (SR 75, 9-8). DistFit:+ confirms she handles this trip, and D.K. Weld (13% strike rate) is a solid handler for this grade. The MarkMv:+7 is a mild concern — she's running off a higher mark than her last win — but the SR superiority and confirmed distance aptitude make her the clear selection in a moderate field. Each-way alternative: Sweet Baby Zou. Main danger: Sweet Baby Zou — Sweet Baby Zou (SR 71, 11/2) is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16% strike rate — the best in the field), has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:~, and carries a favourable 9-1 weight — the combination of progressive yard, confirmed trip, and light weight makes her the most likely to deny Harana.

Verify· #17886

Full result

Winner: Sanctijude (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.