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Season Finale Is Next Tuesday Selling Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Cosmos Raj
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 27%
Mr Fox says
Cosmos Raj (SR:75, 4/1, 9-9) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field and boasts the most compelling recent form line — '644141' shows two wins in the last four runs, including a win last time out just one day ago, confirming peak fitness. Daniel Tudhope (18% strike rate, 1872 career runners) is a significant booking for the O'Meara yard's #1 runner — notably more experienced than the claim rider Whiteley on stablemate Mao Shang Wong. The mark is unchanged from his last win (MarkMv:=), so the handicapper has not yet penalised him, and his 9-9 weight compares favourably to the top-weights. The GoingFit:~ on good ground is a minor concern and DistFit:- is noted, but the SR edge, in-form connections, and winning momentum override these reservations at a workable price. Each-way alternative: Austrian Theory. Main danger: Austrian Theory — Austrian Theory (SR:73, 10/3) is the only horse in the field showing a strong market move — shortening 33% — and runs off a mark 11lb below his last win (MarkMv:-11), which is a substantial handicap concession in his favour, though the DistFit:- and GoingFit:- remain genuine concerns at this trip on good ground.
Full result
Winner: Austrian Theory (IRE) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Austrian Theory Fox #2 7/2
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2
Great Blasket 4/1
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3
Mao Shang Wong Fox #3 6/1
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4
Freddy Robinson 14/1
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5
Dr Rio 12/1
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6
Kitsune Power 28/1
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7
Bearwith Fox #4 7/1
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8
Cosmos Raj Fox #1 7/2
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9
Hunterian 33/1
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10
Shimmering Sands 10/1
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Ohara -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Cosmos Raj 4/1 8TH
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2
Austrian Theory 10/3 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
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3
Mao Shang Wong 9/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Bearwith 7/1 7TH