← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Myesme
MEDIUM Advised 3/1 SP 7/4 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Myesme (SR 157, 3/1) is the standout on ability in this field, rating 14 points clear of the next-best Duty's Call (SR 143) and dwarfing the favourite Hidden Gift (SR 98). The market has firmed 15% since opening, confirming stable confidence, and Edward Bethell (18% strike rate) with Daniel Tudhope (18%) is a top-tier connections pairing. A debut second suggests she has already learned plenty and should improve sharply; even with DistFit and GoingFit unknown, her SR advantage is so substantial that she only needs to handle the conditions, not excel in them. Each-way alternative: Duty's Call. Main danger: Hidden Gift — Hidden Gift is the heavily-backed favourite at 8/11 dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2), so connections clearly believe this easier race is the right opportunity, and despite a poor distance record (DistFit:-) her SR 98 may understate her true ability on a class drop — the market's confidence could reflect stable knowledge of a step-up in performance.
Full result
Winner: Myesme (GB) at SP 7/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Myesme Fox #1 7/4
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2
Hidden Gift Fox #3 8/11
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3
Show And Tell 40/1
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4
Duty's Call Fox #2 16/1
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5
Halliwell Stream 12/1
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6
Valentina Bonita 80/1
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7
Delighfully Hot 16/1
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8
Runaway Lucy 100/1
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9
Dreamawhile 66/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Myesme 3/1 SP 7/4 🏆 WON
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2
Duty's Call 12/1 🏁 4TH
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3
Hidden Gift 8/11 🥈 2ND