← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Roku Nana
MEDIUM Advised 8/13 SP 2/5F Est. 52%
Mr Fox says
Roku Nana (SR:155, 8/13) is the standout on raw ability — a 11-point SR advantage over the next-best Engedi (SR:144) and a massive 17-point gap over the bulk of the field. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) from a Roger Varian yard posting a 20% career strike rate with Jack Mitchell aboard (16%, 1,802 runners) signals this is a yard taking a straightforward opportunity. The third-placed debut run is entirely consistent with a progressive two-year-old being readied for a win rather than maxed out. While the market has already installed her as a heavy favourite, the SR and connections case independently justify that confidence. Each-way alternative: Engedi. Main danger: Engedi — Engedi (SR:144) is an unraced Bethell runner with Daniel Tudhope — the yard's clear #1 jockey booking — and at 15/2 represents the only other horse in the field with an SR in the competitive 140+ range, leaving a theoretical upset possible on debut if Roku Nana is less forward than her classwork suggests.
Full result
Winner: Roku Nana (GB) at SP 2/5F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Roku Nana Fox #1 8/13
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2
Zephyra Fox #3 9/4
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3
Engedi Fox #2 6/1
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4
Benedetti 14/1
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5
Moudora 66/1
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6
Wells Fargos Envoy 50/1
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7
Bearing In Time 50/1
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8
Divine Concerto 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Roku Nana 8/13 SP 2/5F 🏆 WON
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2
Engedi 15/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Zephyra 5/2 🥈 2ND