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Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Starlyte
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Starlyte (SR 107, 5/1, Wgt:10-2) carries the lightest weight in the field and has steamed in 41% in the market — the most significant market move of any runner, and a clear signal that connections and informed money are confident. Course form is exceptional: W3P6 at Kelso, a track where specialist knowledge matters enormously. The MarkMv:-4 means the horse is running off a mark 4lb lower than its last win, a genuinely favoured position. Though the trainer strike rate (5%) is modest, the Russell/Scudamore yard's decision to ride Starlyte with Patrick Wadge over the more fancied Bold Light (given to an apprentice on Gregor Walkingshaw) tells us which is the yard's #1 runner, and the market's 41% support emphatically confirms it. Each-way alternative: Bold Light. Main danger: Loriko — Loriko's SR of 121 is comfortably the best in the field and the Skelton yard (22% trainer, 27% jockey) rarely send a horse off top-weight at this level without genuine confidence in its ability to overcome the burden.
Full result
Winner: Dream's Ka (FR) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Dream's Ka 12/1
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2
Continuance Fox #4 9/2
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3
Loriko Fox #2 8/11
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4
Starlyte Fox #1 11/2
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5
Heart Above 17/2
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Bold Light Fox #3 11/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4