← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Talitha Rouge
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Talitha Rouge (SR:77, 13/8) is comfortably the highest-rated runner in this field, carrying 10-0 but still holding a clear SR advantage over the second-best, Mohaab (SR:71). Her DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ are the only confirmed distance-and-going matches in the field, and she ran just 7 days ago suggesting peak fitness. The form string 343621 shows consistent engagement at this level and ClassMv:= confirms she's not facing a harder task than last time. The 13/8 market price is short but reflects genuine ability superiority rather than hype. Each-way alternative: Mohaab. Main danger: Mohaab — Mohaab (SR:71, 11/2) has steamed in 23% in the market, carries only 9-3 (a 11lb weight relief over Talitha Rouge), and while GoingFit:- is a concern, the money being placed this aggressively on race-day suggests connections believe the going suits better than the record implies.
Full result
Winner: Albertini Star (IRE) at SP 9/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Albertini Star Fox #4 11/2
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2
Talitha Rouge Fox #1 13/8
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3
Pangbourne 9/1
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4
Mmmbop Fox #3 6/1
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5
Sweet Horizon 17/2
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6
Mohaab Fox #2 9/2
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7
Florizelle 150/1
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8
Mystic Music 33/1
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9
Champagne Beau 16/1
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10
Topathemorning 40/1
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11
Sterling Fortune 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Talitha Rouge 13/8 🥈 2ND
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2
Mohaab 11/2 6TH
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3
Mmmbop 5/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Albertini Star 8/1 SP 9/2 🏆 WON