← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Sea Deer Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Dark Side Thunder
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Dark Side Thunder (SR:77, 4/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 8-13, a meaningful advantage in a competitive Class 4 sprint handicap. The horse boasts an outstanding course record of W1P8 at Yarmouth — a specialist track — and confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-soft ground, two signals that are rare in this field. The market has shortened 21% since opening, indicating informed confidence despite a two-class rise (ClassMv:↑2), and the drop of 5lb below last win mark (MarkMv:-5) suggests the handicapper has given connections an opening. The form string 925382 shows consistent competitiveness and the 2 last time out is encouraging after a mid-season lull. Each-way alternative: Massimo Blue. Main danger: Massimo Blue — Massimo Blue (SR:85, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin, carries a favourable weight of 9-5, and arrives on the back of a 553311 form string showing strong recent improvement, with stable jockey Billy Loughnane (18% career strike rate) the obvious yard number-one booking ahead of stablemate King of Chaos.
Full result
Winner: Tyger Bay (GB) at SP 33/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Tyger Bay 28/1
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2
Hugh 22/1
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3
Akabusi 14/1
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4
Deluded 9/1
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4
Massimo Blue Fox #2 5/2
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6
Underwriter 14/1
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7
Flag of St George Fox #3 7/2
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8
Stellar Vision 9/1
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9
King of Chaos 25/1
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10
Dark Side Thunder Fox #1 5/1
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11
Nuevo Slovo 33/1
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12
Three Non Blondes Fox #4 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dark Side Thunder 4/1 10TH
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2
Massimo Blue 9/4 🏁 4TH
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3
Flag of St George 5/1 7TH
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4
Three Non Blondes 10/1 12TH