← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
British Ebf Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Alice de Clare
SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 SP 6/4F Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Alice de Clare (SR:84, 4/1) is the clear SR leader in this field by 2 points over Clocker and carries a favourable 9-8, giving her a real weight edge over top-weight Nowshesdancing (9-12) and Ladykirk (9-10). Her form string 21171D shows a hat-trick of wins including a course victory (Course:W1P1), making her the only runner with a proven win at Yarmouth. The 6% market support (Mkt:in6%) confirms confidence from connections despite the class rise (ClassMv:↑1) and 6lb mark increase — Fanshawe's 18% yard strike rate underpins that this yard fires their horses ready. The 'D' at the end of her form is a disqualification rather than a defeat, so her underlying consistency remains intact. Each-way alternative: Clocker. Main danger: Clocker — Clocker (SR:82, 5/1) carries the lightest weight in the competitive tier at 8-12, has confirmed distance suitability (DistFit:+), holds a 5% market support move (Mkt:in5%), and Bethell/Loughnane is one of the sharpest yard-jockey combinations in training at 18% apiece — the 8 in her last run came from class 3 and her underlying form figures include a recent win.
Full result
Winner: Alice De Clare (IRE) at SP 6/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Alice de Clare Fox #1 9/4
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2
Shangri La Fox #4 9/1
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3
Ladykirk 12/1
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4
Nowshesdancing 10/1
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5
Caraway Fox #3 5/1
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6
Princess Honey Bee 33/1
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7
Willow Wood 9/2
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8
Clocker Fox #2 11/2
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—
Rossa Raheen 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Alice de Clare 4/1 SP 6/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Clocker 5/1 8TH
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3
Caraway 9/2 5TH
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4
Shangri La 6/1 🥈 2ND