← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
John Thomas McNamara Series (Q.R.) Handicap
Mr Fox’s call
Gallo Dell Cielo
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Gallo Dell Cielo (SR 72, 9/4) is the clear class leader in a modest qualifier field where the next-best SR is 66. His form reads 71-151 — a recent win followed by a runner-up suggests peak fitness, and his DistFit:+ confirms he is proven at today's 2m+ trip. As Patrick J Flynn's most able runner of the three declared (highest SR, most experienced jockey booking in Mr D Doyle, and market favourite at 9/4), he is the yard's #1 choice. The MarkMv:+10 means he runs off a slightly higher mark than at his last win, which is the one caveat, but his SR advantage of 6+ points over the field makes that manageable. The going is Good, which is tolerable for him (GoingFit:~), and at 9/4 the market is already pricing his class edge correctly. Each-way alternative: Rich Belief. Main danger: Rich Belief — Rich Belief (SR 66, 7/2) has steamed in 8% in the market, carries a MarkMv:-55 meaning he is racing off a mark well below his last win level, and his trainer Karl Thornton hits at 14% — meaningful in a small field — making him the most credible threat to Gallo Dell Cielo.
Full result
Winner: Cornmarket (IRE) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Cornmarket 3/1
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2
Gallo Dell Cielo Fox #1 9/4
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3
Rich Belief Fox #2 11/4
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4
Duke Otto 11/1
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5
Piatra Neamt 12/1
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6
Miss Gitana 8/1
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7
Peace Walk 12/1
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—
Highlander Addict Fox #3 15/2
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gallo Dell Cielo 9/4 🥈 2ND
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2
Rich Belief 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Highlander Addict 13/2