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Pontefract Racecourse Racing Together Combatting Loneliness Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Dubai Venture
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Dubai Venture leads the field with SR 67 (joint-highest), carries a favourable 9-9 and has a outstanding Course:W2P3 record at Pontefract — course specialist form is a significant edge on a quirky, undulating track. The GoingFit:~ is the one caution on good ground, but the form string -26122 shows two recent wins and a consistent pattern of improvement, with ClassMv:= confirming he's not overreaching. The MarkMv:+4 modest rise is manageable for a horse this in-form, and at 11/4 the market is correctly pricing him as the field's standout despite the distance flag (DistFit:-). Each-way alternative: Thunder Goddess. Main danger: Thunder Goddess — Thunder Goddess (SR 67, 5/2) matches Dubai Venture on ability, carries only 9-6 (a 3lb weight concession), has DistFit:+ confirmed at this trip, GoingFit:~ on today's good ground, and the Andrew Balding/Jason Watson combination at 18% and 13% strike rates respectively represents the sharpest handler-jockey pairing in the field.
Full result
Winner: Thunder Goddess (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Thunder Goddess Fox #2 10/3
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2
Grindleton 13/2
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3
Rory's Gold 11/1
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4
Kartini 12/1
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5
Sunny Orange 6/1
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6
Hill O Rue 25/1
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7
Regulus Black Fox #3 13/2
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8
Skinny Malinka 12/1
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9
Distinction 14/1
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10
Marlena's Prince 33/1
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11
Test Run 66/1
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—
Dubai Venture Fox #1 10/3
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Dubai Venture 11/4
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2
Thunder Goddess 5/2 SP 7/2 🏆 WON
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3
Regulus Black 13/2 7TH