← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
Mr Fox’s call
Miss Hong Kong
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Miss Hong Kong carries the highest SR in the field at 152, a meaningful edge over King Cador (SR 150) and Vienna Waltz (SR 148), and is the only runner showing market confidence — steaming in 14% to 9/2. Trainer Donnacha O'Brien at 13% strike rate with a solid yard, and jockey Gavin Ryan is a proven finisher. In a debut maiden where every runner shows a blank form line and all distance/going flags are unknown, the SR advantage combined with the only positive market move in the field is a decisive differentiator — the money is pointing at something connections know from home work. Each-way alternative: King Cador. Main danger: King Cador — King Cador holds the second-highest SR at 150 and carries the powerful Aidan O'Brien yard (23% strike rate) — the slight drift to 10/3 is a minor concern but O'Brien two-year-olds at Naas regularly land these early maidens regardless of market movement.
Full result
Winner: Nouveau Grey (FR) at SP 3/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Nouveau Grey 17/2
-
2
Miss Hong Kong Fox #1 7/2
-
3
First Watch 15/2
-
4
Soldat Fox #4 9/2
-
5
Raqi 11/2
-
6
Layla Belle 50/1
-
7
Champion Basma 40/1
-
8
Johntom 16/1
-
9
Vienna Waltz Fox #3 3/1
-
10
Raygani 14/1
-
11
Boxwood Hill 33/1
-
—
King Cador Fox #2 7/2
-
—
Sinanli 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Miss Hong Kong 9/2 🥈 2ND
-
2
King Cador 10/3
-
3
Vienna Waltz 5/1 9TH
-
4
Soldat 11/2 🏁 4TH