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Mr Fox’s call
Trumpety Trump
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Trumpety Trump (SR 86, 6/1, Wgt:8-12) presents the strongest multi-signal case in the field. At 8-12 he carries 11lb less than the favourite Dontlookanyfurther (9-9) — a decisive weight edge that amplifies his SR-86 relative to the SR-90 leader. His form reads 3-4-2-1 most recently, the win coming at Class 2 level which matches today's grade exactly (ClassMv:=), and his DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 6f. The market has tightened 7% since opening, modest but directionally positive, and Course:W0P1 shows he handles Ayr. Jim Goldie's 14% yard strike rate over 1,997 runners is reliable, and apprentice Lauren Young's 12% career record is respectable. The key concern is GoingFit:? — soft ground is unproven — but his MarkMv:+5 is manageable and the weight relief from the favourite is the overriding factor on this course. Each-way alternative: Baddaddan. Main danger: Dontlookanyfurther — Dontlookanyfurther (SR:90, 6/4) holds the highest SR in the field and arrives on a 6-1-1 form line at the same class, making a hat-trick entirely possible despite the 11% market drift and a MarkMv:+13 that represents a stiff reassessment by the handicapper.
Full result
Winner: Turnstile (GB) at SP 40/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Turnstile 50/1
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2
Crystal Queen 12/1
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3
Mind Those Steps 33/1
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4
Baddaddan Fox #3 11/1
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5
Furturra 9/1
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6
Deputy Vice Fox #4 14/1
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7
Trumpety Trump Fox #1 11/2
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8
Influencer Man 16/1
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9
Dontlookanyfurther Fox #2 13/8
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10
Siouxperb 7/1
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11
Tropical Crown 9/1
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12
Gladys Pugh 28/1
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13
Inns And Out 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Trumpety Trump 6/1 7TH
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2
Dontlookanyfurther 6/4 9TH
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3
Baddaddan 11/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Deputy Vice 12/1 6TH