← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Spoken Truth
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Spoken Truth (SR:97, 9/2) is O'Meara's yard number one over Theoryofeverything — Tudhope booked over Hart, market shortened 15% versus 46% for the stablemate (which likely reflects ante-post activity rather than serious race-day confidence), and Spoken Truth carries the same 9-4 with superior SR. The form string 3-2-6-4-3-1 shows a last-time-out win, GoingFit:+ confirms soft ground is no issue, and MarkMv:+5 while notable is manageable given the SR advantage over most rivals. McMurray (SR:101) is the only horse with a higher SR but has drifted 18% and faces a 135-day absence with a GoingFit:? — the market is clearly sceptical, and soft ground after a summer break is a meaningful unknown. Each-way alternative: Thunder Roar. Main danger: McMurray — McMurray's SR:101 is the field's highest and the form string 2-1-1-1-1 (last run a win) is outstanding, but the 135-day layoff, unknown soft-ground fitness, and 18% market drift are real concerns — if the yard has him fully ready, his ability alone is enough to win.
Full result
Winner: Naval Light (GB) at SP 16/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Naval Light 20/1
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2
Hawksbill 15/2
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3
Spoken Truth Fox #1 4/1
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4
Naepoint 80/1
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5
Theoryofeverything Fox #4 15/2
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6
Salam Dubawi 12/1
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7
Thunder Roar Fox #3 13/2
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8
Rainbow Nebula 14/1
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9
Northern Express 14/1
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10
Pure Legend 20/1
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11
McMurray Fox #2 9/2
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12
That's Amore 12/1
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13
English Oak 12/1
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14
Lattam 28/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Spoken Truth 9/2 🥉 3RD
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2
McMurray 4/1 11TH
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3
Thunder Roar 6/1 7TH
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4
Theoryofeverything 7/1 5TH