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Ladbrokes 'New Customers Get 50/1 Old Firm Offer' Firth Of Clyde (For The Ayrshire Agricultural Challenge Cup) (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Silent Beauty
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 8/11F Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Silent Beauty leads the field on SR at 108, has proven distance aptitude (DistFit:+) and is trained by Kevin Philippart de Foy whose 16% career strike rate is the best of any trainer represented here. The form line of 1-0-1 shows a recent win, and while the market has drifted 8% from morning price, this is most likely profit-taking on a short-priced favourite rather than genuine stable concern — the 15/8 still reflects clear market respect. Dark Issue (SR 106) is the only plausible rival on ability metrics, and that horse is notably drifting at 9% out, which combined with only a moderate distance record (DistFit:~) at this 6f trip in soft ground gives Silent Beauty the edge. The uniform 9-2 weight across all runners means there is no weight variable to consider — ability and form are the deciding factors. Each-way alternative: Etonnante. Main danger: Dark Issue — Dark Issue holds the second-highest SR at 106, is trained by Richard Hannon with Tom Marquand aboard (16% career strike rate), and a form line of 1-4-8-2 includes a recent runner-up that keeps it in contention — the 9% drift is a concern but the raw ability makes it the most credible threat.
Full result
Winner: Silent Beauty (IRE) at SP 8/11F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Silent Beauty Fox #1 2/1
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2
Ruby Moon Fox #4 5/1
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3
Angel In My Heart 22/1
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4
Dark Issue Fox #2 5/2
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5
Etonnante Fox #3 17/2
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Angels Passing 11/1
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Nour 33/1
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Silesia 28/1
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Starburster 9/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3
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4