← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Ladbrokes Ayr Gold Cup (Class 2 Heritage Handicap)
Mr Fox’s call
Far Above Dream
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 22%
Mr Fox says
Far Above Dream (SR:109, 5/1) is the second-highest rated runner in the field and has steamed in 29% in the market — the joint-strongest market move among the contenders — from a manageable 9-1 morning price. Carrying only 9-1, it has a meaningful weight advantage over Binhareer (9-5) and sits on a MarkMv:+4 which is a modest enough rise after a form line of -11462, showing two wins followed by a placed effort suggesting peak form is recent and repeatable. James Owen's 19% trainer strike rate is high for this sphere, and Jason Hart is a seasoned northern handler with 14% career strike rate and 2,656 runners of experience behind him. DistFit:+ confirms it handles the six-furlong trip, and while GoingFit:? (no established soft-ground record) is the key risk, the market is clearly pricing this horse as though connections have no soft-ground concerns. Each-way alternative: Fine Interview. Main danger: Binhareer — Binhareer (SR:112, 7/2) is the clear SR leader in the field, trained by William Haggas (23% strike rate, the best in the race), has course form (W1P1), and has steamed in 11% — at 9-5 it carries 4lb more than Far Above Dream but its ceiling ability is demonstrably higher on a drying track.
Full result
Winner: Pellitory (GB) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pellitory 20/1
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2
Tuco Salamanca 14/1
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3
Flash Harry 50/1
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4
Fine Interview Fox #3 9/1
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5
Dance In The Storm Fox #4 6/1
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6
Stratusnine 14/1
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7
Ardisia 20/1
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8
Bodhi Bear 50/1
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9
Binhareer Fox #2 7/2
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10
Fahrenheit Seven 250/1
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11
Far Above Dream Fox #1 3/1
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12
Two Tribes 20/1
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13
Spycatcher 28/1
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14
Hammer The Hammer 28/1
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15
Rock On Thunder 100/1
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16
Caburn 40/1
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17
Run Boy Run 22/1
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18
Aramram 50/1
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19
Twilight Calls 16/1
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20
Red Spells Danger 20/1
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21
Volterra 16/1
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22
Evening Saigon 33/1
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23
Candy 25/1
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24
Wiltshire 66/1
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—
Fandom 125/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Far Above Dream 5/1 11TH
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2
Binhareer 7/2 9TH
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3
Fine Interview 9/1 🏁 4TH
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4
Dance In The Storm 6/1 5TH