← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Style Joinery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Vidmiyr
SPECULATIVE Advised 11/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Vidmiyr (SR 90, 11/2, 9-9) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin and carries a competitive weight. The market has steamed in 16%, indicating professional confidence, and crucially Vidmiyr is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and has course form (W1P2 at Chester). The recent form string 123041 shows a winner last time out, and Jennie Candlish's 17% stable strike rate is the strongest trainer figure in the race. The chief concern is GoingFit:? — soft going is unproven for this horse — and the mark has risen 5lb since the last win, but the weight advantage over King of Thunder (same mark, 1lb lighter cloth but lower SR:94 with a drifting market) is offset by Vidmiyr's superior course credentials and market confidence. Each-way alternative: Divine Libra. Main danger: King of Thunder — King of Thunder (SR:94, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, has course form (W1P1), and won last time out — the 9% market drift is a concern but the raw SR edge and recent form make it the primary threat to Vidmiyr.
Full result
Winner: Andesite (GB) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Andesite 8/1
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2
Blue Prince 15/2
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3
Homestrait 6/1
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4
First Time Fox #4 13/2
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5
King of Thunder Fox #2 4/1
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6
Vidmiyr Fox #1 5/1
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7
County Carlow 33/1
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8
Divine Libra Fox #3 9/2
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Diligent Resdev 11/1
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Merry 10/1
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Crazee Icon -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Vidmiyr 11/2 6TH
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2
King of Thunder 4/1 5TH
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3
Divine Libra 4/1 8TH
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4
First Time 6/1 🏁 4TH