← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Dubai International Airport World Trophy Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Redorange
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Redorange (SR 119, 10/3) is the clear SR leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 1 point above Starlust (SR 118) and significantly above the rest — and carries 9-3, the same weight as three rivals, with no penalty disadvantage. Crucially, the market has shortened 11% since opening, confirming stable confidence from the Clive Cox yard, which has three runners here; the jockey booking of Callum Rodriguez (20% career strike rate) over the yard's other entries signals this is Cox's intended winner. GoingFit:+ on today's good ground is corroborated by a recent 1 and 4 in the form string, and the MarkMv:+1 means the handicapper has barely adjusted since the last win — the rating has not caught up with ability. The 0 on the last run is the only blemish but on a 5f sprint at Group/Listed level these blips are explainable, and the market is not penalising it. Each-way alternative: Starlust. Main danger: Starlust — Starlust (SR 118, 9/4) is the market leader with a 14% market move inward, has course form (W1P1 at Newbury) and a MarkMv:-1 indicating the mark has dropped slightly since the last win — if the 9/4 price reflects genuine confidence from Ralph Beckett's yard, it represents the most plausible alternative winner.
Full result
Winner: Miss Yechance (IRE) at SP 12/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Miss Yechance Fox #4 14/1
-
2
Shagraan 11/1
-
3
Diligent Harry 12/1
-
4
Starlust Fox #2 9/4
-
5
First Instinct Fox #3 13/2
-
6
Redorange Fox #1 3/1
-
7
Azure Angel 33/1
-
8
Naana's Sparkle 12/1
-
9
Dickensian 10/1
-
10
Aspect Island 18/1
-
11
Hallo Spaceboy 22/1
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
Redorange 10/3 6TH
-
2
Starlust 9/4 🏁 4TH
-
3
First Instinct 7/1 5TH
-
4
Miss Yechance 12/1 SP 12/1 🏆 WON