← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Wyvill
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Wyvill leads the field on SR (55, joint-top with Fairydale) and carries 9-9 — a manageable weight given the competitive range here. At 10/3 the market is clearly endorsing this selection, and Ian Williams (11% strike rate, 2136 runners) is a competent handler. The form string 6673 shows progressive improvement and consistency at this class level, and while GoingFit is flagged negative, the AW Good surface at Newcastle is rarely a dealbreaker for a young 3yo learning its trade. Ten Sixty Six (SR 59, the highest-rated runner) has drifted badly at 11% out to 11/4, a significant red flag that undermines what would otherwise be the ratings case, making Wyvill the cleaner call at a price that still represents value. Each-way alternative: Raise The Stakes. Main danger: Ten Sixty Six — Carries the highest SR in the field at 59 off a light 9-5, and while the 11% market drift is concerning, David O'Meara (13% strike rate, 2847 runners) is a sharp operator who rarely runs without intent at this class level.
Full result
Winner: West Sleekburn Lad (GB) at SP 13/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
West Sleekburn Lad 9/1
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2
Manbearpig 9/1
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3
Wyvill Fox #1 3/1
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4
Ten Sixty Six Fox #2 3/1
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5
Fairydale Fox #4 7/1
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6
Go Teejay 33/1
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7
Raise The Stakes Fox #3 5/1
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8
Queenies Pal 25/1
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9
Galistra 80/1
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10
Project Kinsman 11/1
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11
Gilleangirl 10/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Wyvill 10/3 🥉 3RD
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2
Ten Sixty Six 11/4 🏁 4TH
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3
Raise The Stakes 11/2 7TH
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4
Fairydale 6/1 5TH