← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Mini Golf At High Gosforth Park Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Great
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 Est. 26%
Mr Fox says
Great (SR:75, 13/2, 9-1) combines the lightest competitive weight in the upper SR band with a strong recent form line of 153176 — a win last time out — and a meaningful market move of 38% in. Sam England's 15% stable strike rate is the best of any yard in this field, and Rowan Scott's booking (11%, 1,458 career rides) provides reliable in-form jockey confidence. Running off MarkMv:+2 at the same class (ClassMv:=) is manageable, and the 9-1 weight gives a meaningful lbs advantage over Bonnie's Boy (9-5) and Smart Vision (9-9). GoingFit:- is the one concern on Good going, but the market move suggests connections are comfortable. Each-way alternative: American Bay. Main danger: Bonnie's Boy — Bonnie's Boy (SR:77, 5/2) is the top-rated runner in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), and while the market support is modest (7% in) and DistFit:- is a concern at 5f, the class-drop edge and highest SR make it the most likely alternative winner.
Full result
Winner: Azuinthejungle (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Azuinthejungle 10/1
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2
Bonnie's Boy Fox #2 3/1
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3
Great Fox #1 8/1
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4
Blue Force 16/1
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5
Hundred Caps 8/1
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6
Goyard 18/1
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7
American Bay Fox #3 11/2
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8
Smart Vision Fox #4 9/2
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9
Castan 12/1
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10
Style King 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Great 13/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Bonnie's Boy 5/2 🥈 2ND
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3
American Bay 6/1 7TH
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4
Smart Vision 11/2 8TH