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Get Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Ellie's de Vega
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Ellie's de Vega (SR 66, 7/2) is the clear class leader in this field, carrying a competitive 9-5 and boasting Course:W1P2 at Newcastle AW — a meaningful edge on a specialist track. Her form string 352261 shows a recent win (rightmost) and consistent placed efforts, confirming she arrives in peak order. Philip Kirby has deployed blinkers (HG:b) and booked Sean Dylan Bowen (11% strike rate, 1,103 runners — the stronger of the two Kirby jockey bookings), marking her as the yard's #1 from their two-runner entry. The 5% drift is modest and explainable given GoingFit:- on today's going, but her SR superiority of at least 8lb over the next-best (Solid Bond, SR 62) and proven course form outweigh that concern in a Class 6 five-furlong sprint. Each-way alternative: Solid Bond. Main danger: Solid Bond — Solid Bond (SR 62, 4/1) is the market's second choice, carries top-weight of 9-12 but a recent last-run win confirms live form, and despite the 7% drift and DistFit:- concern, his SR is the closest to Ellie's de Vega in the field and Declan Carroll operates at a solid 11% strike rate.
Full result
Winner: Invincible Crown (IRE) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Invincible Crown 9/1
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2
Keep The Gold 15/2
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3
South Shore Island 9/1
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4
Khabib 16/1
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5
Ellie's de Vega Fox #1 7/2
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6
Tawaazon Fox #3 10/3
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7
Korroor 25/1
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8
Lady Bouquet 11/1
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9
Solid Bond Fox #2 5/1
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—
Crafty Spirit Fox #4 11/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Ellie's de Vega 7/2 5TH
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2
Solid Bond 4/1 9TH
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3
Tawaazon 5/1 6TH
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4
Crafty Spirit 10/1