← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Turners Of Soham Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Amazonica
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Amazonica (SR 154, 15/8) is the second-highest rated runner in the field, has shortened 9% in the market, and carries just 9-11 — only 7lb more than rivals on 9-4 despite a significant SR advantage over most of the field. A sole career win last time out at this same class level confirms she's doing things right, and Owen Burrows at 22% strike rate with David Probert booked is a confident yard signal. Humphrey (SR 156) is technically the highest-rated but has drifted 16% in the market — a meaningful steer from connections — and his form of 2-3 places without a win raises questions about his ability to close the deal at this class. The market shortening on Amazonica against a drifting favourite is the decisive cross-signal here. Each-way alternative: Super Crown. Main danger: Humphrey — Humphrey's SR of 156 is the best in the field and the Gosden yard's 24% strike rate is formidable — the market drift may reflect connections managing expectations rather than genuine doubts, and he could yet hit the line under Robert Havlin.
Full result
Winner: Sir Hannibal (GER) at SP 18/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Sir Hannibal 12/1
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2
Humphrey Fox #2 11/8
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3
Amazonica Fox #1 7/4
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4
Santushti Fox #4 7/1
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5
Super Crown Fox #3 5/1
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6
Electric Arc 50/1
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7
Golden Island 40/1
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8
Ovage 50/1
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9
Emperor Aurelius 125/1
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10
Majestic Ruler 150/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Amazonica 15/8 🥉 3RD
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2
Humphrey 11/8 🥈 2ND
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3
Super Crown 6/1 5TH
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4
Santushti 8/1 🏁 4TH