← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Racing Again October 2nd & 3rd Race
Mr Fox’s call
Rion Rubette
SPECULATIVE Advised 3/1 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Rion Rubette (SR 96, 3/1) is the highest-rated runner in the field and brings the strongest course credentials with Course:W2P2 at Gowran Park — two wins and two places here is a meaningful course specialist advantage on a track that rewards familiarity. The market has firmed 8% since opening, confirming quiet confidence from connections. While GoingFit:- is a concern, the course form is on good ground historically and today's going is Good, so the going bucket label may be slightly misleading given the course wins here. The MarkMv:+6 means a 6lb higher mark than the last win, which is a genuine caveat, but the SR of 96 is 3 points clear of the next-best realistic rival and the weight carried (9-8) is not prohibitive. Each-way alternative: Greydreambeliever. Main danger: Greydreambeliever — Greydreambeliever (SR 93, 11/4, Course:W0P3) is the market's marginal favourite, carries the lightest weight in the field at 9-3 giving it a real pounds edge, and O'Brien's 16% yard strike rate combined with a young jockey booking on a horse with three places at this track suggests it is well placed — the GoingFit:- and DistFit:- flags are the only reasons to prefer Rion Rubette.
Full result
Winner: Greydreambeliever (IRE) at SP 2/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Greydreambeliever Fox #2 2/1
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2
City House 9/2
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3
Roaring Fire 16/1
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4
Mumhan 11/1
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5
Booyea Fox #3 5/1
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6
Rion Rubette Fox #1 11/4
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7
Anushka 16/1
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8
Go Sioux Me 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Rion Rubette 3/1 6TH
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2
Greydreambeliever 11/4 SP 2/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Booyea 6/1 5TH