← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Denny Cordell Lavarack & Lanwades Stud Fillies Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Faiyum
MEDIUM Advised 15/8 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Faiyum (SR 116, 15/8) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 8 SR points clear of the next-best Caught U Sleeping (SR 108) and 10 clear of Sindria (SR 106). Crucially, Faiyum is confirmed at this trip (DistFit:+) and on this going (GoingFit:+), while both main market rivals Sindria and Caught U Sleeping carry GoingFit:- and a drift concern respectively. Faiyum has a Course:W1P1 record at Gowran Park, adding specialist track knowledge, and the Lyons yard runs at a solid 16% strike rate. The form line 21-342 shows consistent competitiveness at this level with no deterioration, and at 15/8 the market is correctly pricing a horse whose superiority across SR, going, distance, and course form is multi-dimensional. Each-way alternative: Sindria. Main danger: Sindria — Sindria (SR 106, 4/1) has steamed in 33% since opening, holds Course:W2P2 at Gowran Park — the strongest course record in the field — and is clearly the JP O'Brien yard's #1 runner; the going concern (GoingFit:-) is the only caveat, and if the ground rides more genuinely good than expected, that flag softens considerably.
Full result
Winner: Syzygy (GB) at SP 80/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Syzygy 80/1
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2
Pollenca 50/1
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3
Sindria Fox #2 4/1
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4
Caught U Sleeping Fox #3 8/1
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5
Star Performer Fox #4 11/4
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6
Saga Gaga 11/1
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7
Classiest 33/1
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8
Faiyum Fox #1 11/8
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9
Alice Monet 28/1
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10
Kalixa 80/1
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11
Sky Watch 50/1
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12
Hollys Graces 33/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Faiyum 15/8 8TH
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2
Sindria 4/1 🥉 3RD
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3
Caught U Sleeping 15/2 🏁 4TH
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4
Star Performer 9/4 5TH